@foretold/prediction-analysis

Prediction Analysis Library

This is a ReasonML library to organize and score predictions.

Measurement Value

There are several kinds of values relevant for predictions used in Foretold. Below are the most complicated.

Cdf

"Cdf" stand for cumulative distribution functions.

PredictionResolutionGroup

A "Prediction Resolution Group" is a group of measurements needed to score a particular prediction. This always requires a prediction and a resolution of similar types. Some scores also require a market prediction as well.

PredictionResolutionOverTime

A "Prediction Resolution Over Time" is a group of measurements needed to score a user's predictions over a period of time. This is done by making a bunch of Prediction Resolution Groups, scoring those, and taking the average user score over a specific period.